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Blood doctrine · Claim record

AJWRB estimates roughly 1,220 excess deaths a year (2016 basis) and about 33,000 between 1961 and 2016, by multiplying the publisher count by an assumed transfusion-need rate and a 1% excess mortality; this is an extrapolation, not a count.

Claim ID claim-blood-ajwrb-estimateConcerns 23 July 2026Context
Context · 23 July 2026 Unverified

AJWRB estimates roughly 1,220 excess deaths a year (2016 basis) and about 33,000 between 1961 and 2016, by multiplying the publisher count by an assumed transfusion-need rate and a 1% excess mortality; this is an extrapolation, not a count. AJWRB.org (Advocates for Jehovah's Witness Reform on Blood), 23 July 2026

Show the evidence (1 source)
Discovery source only Unverified

AJWRB.org (Advocates for Jehovah's Witness Reform on Blood), “Estimating Mortality: Epidemiological Extrapolations of Faith-Based Blood Restrictions (page 'Jehovah's Witnesses and Blood – Tens of Thousands Dead in Hidden Tragedy')”

23 July 2026 · Lee Elder · AJWRB

“Because no official mortality data are available, researchers have attempted to estimate the potential impact of the policy using published clinical studies and epidemiological extrapolation.”

Estimates about 1,220 excess deaths worldwide in 2016 and about 33,246 for 1961-2016, from 8,132,358 publishers × 15 transfusion-requiring cases per 1,000 per year × 1% excess mortality (rounded down from an observed 1.4%).

Official source

Provenance and verification note

Confidence note. Page opened; the figures are an advocacy group's extrapolation, not a count. Label as an estimate with its method whenever used.

Notes. A campaigning organisation’s estimate, used here only as an example of the figures in circulation and labelled unverified.Earlier URL redirects here.

Accessed. 19 September 2026 · Source ID. src-ajwrb-2026-0723-mortality-estimate

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