ClaimPredictions and datesverified1980sContext

Predictions and dates · Claim record

Against the defence 'individual brothers speculated': the dated expectations were published in the organisation's own books (1889, 1917, 1920, 1966), magazines (1922-24, 1968), a Kingdom Ministry insert (1974) and a magazine masthead (to 1995); the organisation itself admitted in 1980 that 'statements published' had implied probability.

Claim ID claim-predictions-defence-individual-brothers-speculatedConcerns 15 March 1980Context

The claim and its evidence

Context · 15 March 1980 Verified

Against the defence 'individual brothers speculated': the dated expectations were published in the organisation's own books (1889, 1917, 1920, 1966), magazines (1922-24, 1968), a Kingdom Ministry insert (1974) and a magazine masthead (to 1995); the organisation itself admitted in 1980 that 'statements published' had implied probability. Source: The Watchtower, 15 March 1980Source: Kingdom Ministry, May 1974Source: The Watch Tower and Herald of Christ's Presence, 1 April 1923Source: Jehovah's Witnesses—Proclaimers of God's Kingdom (jv), 1993

The organisation’s position or later explanation: Yearbook 1975 p.146 and w1995 11/1 p.17 do attribute over-certainty to members.

Show the evidence (4 sources)
Primary JW publication Verified

The Watchtower, “Choosing the Best Way of Life”

15 March 1980 · pp.17-18 · par. 5 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society

“With the appearance of the book Life Everlasting—in Freedom of the Sons of God ... considerable expectation was aroused regarding the year 1975. ... there were other statements published that implied that such realization of hopes by that year was more of a probability than a mere possibility. It is to be regretted that these latter statements apparently overshadowed the cautionary ones”

The organisation's fullest acknowledgement about 1975.

Provenance and verification note for The Watchtower, Choosing the Best Way of Life

Confidence note. Opened on wol; page marker 17 precedes the passage.

Corroborated by. src-jv-1993-00-p632-633-expectations

Accessed. 19 September 2026 · Source ID. src-w-1980-0315-p17-18

Primary JW publication Verified

Kingdom Ministry, “How Are You Using Your Life?”

May 1974 · p.3 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York

“Reports are heard of brothers selling their homes and property and planning to finish out the rest of their days in this old system in the pioneer service. Certainly this is a fine way to spend the short time remaining before the wicked world's end.”

Reports a US peak of 20,394 pioneers and asks readers whether they can adjust their affairs to pioneer.

Provenance and verification note for Kingdom Ministry, How Are You Using Your Life?

Confidence note. Opened on wol; page marker 3 precedes the sentence.

Accessed. 19 September 2026 · Source ID. src-km-1974-05-p3-selling-homes

Primary JW publication Verified

The Watch Tower and Herald of Christ's Presence, “Questions and answers (on reports that pilgrims were told to stop talking about 1925)”

1 April 1923 · p.106 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society

“Our thought is, that 1925 is definitely settled by the Scriptures, marking the end of the typical jubilees. Just exactly what will happen at that time no one can tell to a certainty; but we expect such a climax in the affairs of the world that the people will begin to realize the presence of the Lord and his kingdom power.”

Denies that pilgrims were told to cease talking about 1925.

Provenance and verification note for The Watch Tower and Herald of Christ's Presence, Questions and answers (on reports that pilgrims were told to stop talking about 1925)

Confidence note. Issue header 'APRIL 1, 1923' and page markers 105/106 precede the passage in the scan OCR.

Scan provenance. Internet Archive upload by Veillez.org of the 1923 volume; public domain.

Accessed. 19 September 2026 · Source ID. src-wt-1923-0401-p106-1925

Primary JW publication Verified

Jehovah's Witnesses—Proclaimers of God's Kingdom (jv), “Chapter 28, Testing and Sifting From Within — 'Were Their Expectations Correct?'”

1993 · pp.631-633 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York

“This later led to the idea—sometimes stated as a possibility, sometimes more firmly—that since the seventh millennium of human history would begin in 1975, events associated with the beginning of Christ's Millennial Reign might start to take place then. ... some of their time calculations and the expectations that they associated with these gave rise to serious disappointments. Following 1925, meeting attendance dropped dramatically in some congregations in France and Switzerland. Again, in 1975, there was disappointment”

Adds that after 1975 'some withdrew from the organization. Others ... were disfellowshipped', and that 'the number who defected was relatively small'.

Provenance and verification note for Jehovah's Witnesses—Proclaimers of God's Kingdom (jv), Chapter 28, Testing and Sifting From Within — 'Were Their Expectations Correct?'

Confidence note. Opened on wol; page marker 633 precedes the quoted sentences.

Corroborated by. src-w-1980-0315-p17-18

Accessed. 19 September 2026 · Source ID. src-jv-1993-00-p632-633-expectations

Claim page

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