O pico mundial de publicadores caiu de 2.248.390 (ano de serviço de 1976) para 2.223.538 (1977) e 2.182.341 (1978); o Anuário de 1979 relatou uma “diminuição geral de 1,4 por cento” na média de publicadores (2.086.698 contra 2.117.194) e que “outros se tornaram inativos”. O Anuário de 1977 já havia observado cerca de 16.000 pioneiros a menos e 23 milhões de horas a menos do que em 1975. O Anuário de 1980 relata aumentos em 1979 “embora não grandes” em países como os Estados Unidos e a Grã-Bretanha, e uma recuperação na Nigéria e nas Filipinas “depois de alguns anos de diminuição no número de Testemunhas nesses países”.
Claim ID claim-predictions-1976-1978-publisher-declineConcerns 1978Resultado
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Os anuários atribuem a queda a “vários fatores” e ao fato de alguns não fazerem relatório todos os meses; Proclamadores, p. 633, diz que “o número dos que desertaram foi relativamente pequeno”.
Mostrar as provas (5 fontes)
Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1977 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“This year there was a peak of 2,248,390 Kingdom publishers ... In 1975 the peak was 2,179,256. ... the hours were fewer, namely, 359,258,019 hours, to compare with 382,296,208 ... There are not as many pioneer publishers as the year before—114,026 ... to compare with 130,225”
Notes 'some 16,000 fewer pioneers' and that 'some publishers ... did not spend as much time in the field service as formerly'.
1979 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“There has been an overall 1.4-percent decrease in the number of Kingdom publishers. ... there were 2,086,698, on the average, who shared in making known the 'good news' compared with 2,117,194 the year before. The peak number of publishers came to 2,182,341, which is also below that of last year.”
Adds: 'a number did not share in giving a witness each month, and others became inactive.'
1980 · pp.11-12 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing. ... It was also happifying to see increases this year, though not large, in such lands as the United States and Great Britain.”
The sentence concerns Nigeria and the Philippines ('the reports from such lands as Nigeria and the Philippines. After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing'), and the following sentence concerns the United States and Great Britain; it is not a worldwide statement and the narrative gives no worldwide peak figure.
A direct link to this claim is https://jwtruth.org/pt-br/evidence/claim-predictions-1976-1978-publisher-decline/. Every source above opens the original document or the best available copy. If you believe the wording, date or context is wrong, report an error.