Le maximum de proclamateurs dans le monde est passé de 2 248 390 (année de service 1976) à 2 223 538 (1977), puis à 2 182 341 (1978) ; l'Annuaire 1979 faisait état d'une 'overall 1.4-percent decrease' de la moyenne des proclamateurs (2 086 698 contre 2 117 194) et indiquait que 'others became inactive'. L'Annuaire 1977 avait déjà relevé environ 16 000 pionniers et 23 millions d'heures de moins qu'en 1975. L'Annuaire 1980 fait état d'augmentations en 1979, 'though not large', dans des pays comme les États-Unis et la Grande-Bretagne, ainsi que d'une reprise au Nigeria et aux Philippines 'after a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands'.
Claim ID claim-predictions-1976-1978-publisher-declineConcerns 1978Résultat
Position de l’organisation ou explication ultérieure : Les annuaires attribuent ce recul à 'various factors' et au fait que certains ne remettaient pas de rapport chaque mois ; Proclaimers p. 633 dit que 'the number who defected was relatively small'.
Afficher les preuves (5 sources)
Publication primaire des Témoins de JéhovahVérifié
1977 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“This year there was a peak of 2,248,390 Kingdom publishers ... In 1975 the peak was 2,179,256. ... the hours were fewer, namely, 359,258,019 hours, to compare with 382,296,208 ... There are not as many pioneer publishers as the year before—114,026 ... to compare with 130,225”
Notes 'some 16,000 fewer pioneers' and that 'some publishers ... did not spend as much time in the field service as formerly'.
1979 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“There has been an overall 1.4-percent decrease in the number of Kingdom publishers. ... there were 2,086,698, on the average, who shared in making known the 'good news' compared with 2,117,194 the year before. The peak number of publishers came to 2,182,341, which is also below that of last year.”
Adds: 'a number did not share in giving a witness each month, and others became inactive.'
1980 · pp.11-12 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing. ... It was also happifying to see increases this year, though not large, in such lands as the United States and Great Britain.”
The sentence concerns Nigeria and the Philippines ('the reports from such lands as Nigeria and the Philippines. After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing'), and the following sentence concerns the United States and Great Britain; it is not a worldwide statement and the narrative gives no worldwide peak figure.
A direct link to this claim is https://jwtruth.org/fr/evidence/claim-predictions-1976-1978-publisher-decline/. Every source above opens the original document or the best available copy. If you believe the wording, date or context is wrong, report an error.