Predictions and dates1960s1970s1980s1990sEvidence collection
Dossiê de provas · forte implicação
1975
A organização não imprimiu “o Armagedom virá em 1975”. O que ela imprimiu, ao longo de nove anos, foi uma cronologia que terminava no outono de 1975, perguntas repetidas sobre se o fim viria logo em seguida, uma resposta de “semanas ou meses, não anos”, e elogios a membros que abriram mão das suas casas por causa do “pouco tempo restante”.
Última revisão em 19 de setembro de 2026
O que foi fortemente dado a entender
According to this trustworthy Bible chronology six thousand years from man's creation will end in 1975, and the seventh period of a thousand years of human history will begin in the fall of 1975 C.E. ... How appropriate it would be for Jehovah God to make of this coming seventh period of a thousand years a sabbath period of rest and release, a great Jubilee sabbath
The same chapter asked: ‘How appropriate it would be for Jehovah God to make of this coming seventh period of a thousand years a sabbath period of rest and release, a great Jubilee sabbath’. At a 1966 convention F. W. Franz was asked whether this meant Armageddon by 1975 and answered, as the 1993 history reports it ‘in essence’, ‘It could. But we are not saying … Time is short.’Source: Jehovah's Witnesses—Proclaimers of God's Kingdom (jv), 1993
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: A Sentinela de 15 de março de 1980, p. 17: os comentários do livro significaram que “se despertou considerável expectativa a respeito do ano de 1975”; Proclamadores, p. 104, relata que F. W. Franz disse a um congresso de 1966: “Poderia ser. Mas não estamos dizendo isso”.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1966 · pp.29-30 · pars. 41-43 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“According to this trustworthy Bible chronology six thousand years from man's creation will end in 1975, and the seventh period of a thousand years of human history will begin in the fall of 1975 C.E. ... How appropriate it would be for Jehovah God to make of this coming seventh period of a thousand years a sabbath period of rest and release, a great Jubilee sabbath”
Paragraph 42 adds 'six thousand years of man's existence on earth will soon be up, yes, within this generation'. The 'how appropriate' sentence is par. 43 on p. 30 (not p. 35 as sometimes cited); the p. 35 chart was not checked.
Nota de procedência e verificação for Life Everlasting—in Freedom of the Sons of God (book), Chapter 1, pars. 41-43
Nota de confiança.Scan opened and page header '30 LIFE EVERLASTING' confirmed; host is unofficial, so cite alongside w1980 3/15 p.17 and jv p.104, which quote/describe the book.
Procedência da digitalização.Unofficial archive (Watchtower Wayback) OCR'd PDF of the 1966 book (Acrobat paper-capture, 2008). Lending copies also exist on archive.org (lifeeverlastingi00watc) but are access-restricted. Copyright 1966; short quotation only.
15 de abril de 1967 · p.236 · par. 25 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“According to a more recent calculation of the Bible timetable, six thousand years of man's existence will end in the latter half of the year 1975, which is well within this century. The Bible millennium is ahead of us”
Contrasts Ussher's 1996 date with the Society's 1975 calculation.
Are we to assume from this study that the battle of Armageddon will be all over by the autumn of 1975, and the long-looked-for thousand-year reign of Christ will begin by then? Possibly, but we wait to see how closely the seventh thousand-year period of man's existence coincides with the sabbathlike thousand-year reign of Christ.
Our chronology, however, which is reasonably accurate (but admittedly not infallible), at the best only points to the autumn of 1975 as the end of 6,000 years of man’s existence on earth. It does not necessarily mean that 1975 marks the end of the first 6,000 years of Jehovah’s seventh creative “day.” … It may involve only a difference of weeks or months, not years.
A Sentinela de 15 de agosto de 1968 (“Why Are You Looking Forward to 1975?”) perguntou se o Armagedom “terá terminado até o outono de 1975” e respondeu “Possivelmente”, dizendo que qualquer intervalo entre o fim dos 6.000 anos e o reinado de Cristo “pode envolver apenas uma diferença de semanas ou meses, não de anos”. Source: The Watchtower, 15 de agosto de 1968
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: A Sentinela de 15 de março de 1980, p. 17, admitiu que algumas declarações “davam a entender que a realização dessas esperanças naquele ano era mais uma probabilidade do que mera possibilidade” e que essas declarações “ofuscaram as cautelosas”.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
15 de agosto de 1968 · pp.494-501 · pars. 29-30, 37 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Are we to assume from this study that the battle of Armageddon will be all over by the autumn of 1975, and the long-looked-for thousand-year reign of Christ will begin by then? Possibly, but we wait to see how closely the seventh thousand-year period of man's existence coincides with the sabbathlike thousand-year reign of Christ.”
The same paragraph (30) continues: 'Our chronology, however, which is reasonably accurate (but admittedly not infallible), at the best only points to the autumn of 1975 as the end of 6,000 years of man's existence on earth. It does not necessarily mean that 1975 marks the end of the first 6,000 years of Jehovah's seventh creative "day." ... It may involve only a difference of weeks or months, not years.' Par. 29: 'in the fall of the year 1975 ... it will be 6,000 years since the creation of Adam'. Par. 37: 'They have not dedicated their lives to serve Jehovah only until 1975.'
Two months later Awake! asked ‘What Will the 1970’s Bring?’ and answered that the six thousand years ‘will evidently finish in the autumn of the year 1975’ and that ‘the 1970’s will certainly see the most critical times mankind has yet known’.Source: Awake!, 8 de outubro de 1968
Despertai! de 8 de outubro de 1968 (“What Will the 1970's Bring?”) disse que os 6.000 anos “evidentemente terminarão no outono do ano de 1975”, que “nenhum homem pode dizer” que isso aponte positivamente para 1975 como o fim, mas que “a década de 1970 certamente verá os tempos mais críticos que a humanidade já conheceu” e que uma intervenção divina na década de 1970 “certamente não deveria nos surpreender”. Source: Awake!, 8 de outubro de 1968
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Coberto pelo reconhecimento geral de 1980.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
8 de outubro de 1968 · pp.13-15 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“That seven-year period will evidently finish in the autumn of the year 1975. Does this mean that the above evidence positively points to 1975 as the time for the complete end of this system of things? Since the Bible does not specifically state this, no man can say. However, of this we can be sure: The 1970's will certainly see the most critical times mankind has yet known.”
Sub-heading 'When Do 6,000 Years End?'; adds 'If the 1970's should see intervention by Jehovah God ... that should surely not surprise us.' Awake! before 1970 is not on wol.jw.org.
Nota de procedência e verificação for Awake!, What Will the 1970's Bring?
Nota de confiança.Scan OCR opened; issue header and page markers 13, 14, 15 confirmed around the passage.
Procedência da digitalização.Internet Archive (daveignatius) compilation of scans from three Awake! issues; page headers 'OCTOBER 8, 1968' and page numbers 13-15 visible. Copyright 1968; short quotation only.
A Sentinela de 1.º de maio de 1968 calculou que o outono de 1975 estaria “plenamente 6.000 anos dentro do sétimo dia de Deus” e, perguntada se 1975 “trará a batalha do Armagedom”, respondeu: “Ninguém pode dizer com certeza o que qualquer ano específico trará” — ao mesmo tempo que instava os leitores a tratar o velho sistema como “um navio que afunda”. Source: The Watchtower, 1 de maio de 1968
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Proclamadores, p. 104, nota de rodapé h, cita este artigo como um dos cautelosos.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1 de maio de 1968 · pp.271-273 · pars. 5, 8 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Eight years from the autumn of 1967 would bring us to the autumn of 1975, fully 6,000 years into God's seventh day, his rest day. ... Does this mean that the year 1975 will bring the battle of Armageddon? No one can say with certainty what any particular year will bring.”
Cautionary sentence sits inside an article urging readers to treat the old system as 'a sinking ship'.
Nota de procedência e verificação for The Watchtower, Making Wise Use of the Remaining Time
Nota de confiança.Opened on wol; page markers 271 and 272/273 confirmed. The wording 'within a few years at most the final parts of Bible prophecy...' attributed by some discovery sites to pp.272-273 was not found in this article.
If you are a young person, you also need to face the fact that you will never grow old in this present system of things. Why not? Because all the evidence in fulfillment of Bible prophecy indicates that this corrupt system is due to end in a few years. ... Therefore, as a young person, you will never fulfill any career that this system offers.
Reports are heard of brothers selling their homes and property and planning to finish out the rest of their days in this old system in the pioneer service. Certainly this is a fine way to spend the short time remaining before the wicked world's end.
Declaração explícita · 22 de maio de 1969Verificado
Despertai! de 22 de maio de 1969 disse aos leitores jovens: “você também precisa encarar o fato de que nunca envelhecerá neste atual sistema de coisas... este sistema corrupto está para terminar dentro de poucos anos”, e que “como jovem, você nunca completará carreira alguma que este sistema ofereça”, desestimulando planos de cursar a faculdade. Source: Awake!, 22 de maio de 1969
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
22 de maio de 1969 · pp.13-14 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“If you are a young person, you also need to face the fact that you will never grow old in this present system of things. Why not? Because all the evidence in fulfillment of Bible prophecy indicates that this corrupt system is due to end in a few years. ... Therefore, as a young person, you will never fulfill any career that this system offers.”
Ties the statement to 'the generation that observed the beginning of the "last days" in 1914' and advises against planning for college.
Nota de procedência e verificação for Awake!, What Future for the Young? (article addressed to young people)
Nota de confiança.Wording confirmed in an excerpt scan of pp. 13-14 only; the passage lies within it. The article title is not visible in the excerpt and is taken from secondary citations; the passage is often cited as p. 15, which the scan does not support.
Procedência da digitalização.Internet Archive excerpt scan labelled 'pages 13-14' (uploader Paul.bond.faith). Copyright 1969; short quotation only.
Notes.Not on wol.jw.org (Awake! coverage starts 1970).
Consultado em. 19 de setembro de 2026 · Identificador da fonte.src-g-1969-0522-p13-15-never-grow-old
O Ministério do Reino de maio de 1974 relatou que havia “irmãos vendendo suas casas e propriedades e planejando passar o resto de seus dias neste velho sistema no serviço de pioneiro” e chamou isso de “uma excelente maneira de passar o pouco tempo que resta antes do fim deste mundo iníquo”. Source: Kingdom Ministry, maio de 1974
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: A Sentinela de 15 de julho de 1976, p. 441: “não é aconselhável fixarmos a vista em certa data, negligenciando as coisas do dia a dia”.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
maio de 1974 · p.3 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“Reports are heard of brothers selling their homes and property and planning to finish out the rest of their days in this old system in the pioneer service. Certainly this is a fine way to spend the short time remaining before the wicked world's end.”
Reports a US peak of 20,394 pioneers and asks readers whether they can adjust their affairs to pioneer.
The autumn of 1975 passed. The Watchtower of 1 October 1975 recorded that ‘mankind then completed 6,000 years of existence on earth’, in an issue that also carried an article titled ‘Why Delay?’.Source: The Watchtower, 1 de outubro de 1975The organisation’s own statistics, in its own definitions, then fell for two years.
Worldwide peak publishers by service year, 1975 to 1978 (the organisation’s own figures and wording)
The 1980 Yearbook reports increases in 1979 ‘though not large’ in lands such as the United States and Great Britain, and an upswing in Nigeria and the Philippines ‘after a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands’; it gives no worldwide figure in its narrative.Source: 1980 Yearbook of Jehovah's Witnesses, 1980
The Yearbooks attribute the decrease to some who ‘did not share in giving a witness each month’ and ‘others became inactive’; the 1993 history says that ‘in 1975, there was disappointment … As a result, some withdrew from the organization’, while calling the number ‘relatively small’. We state the figures and the organisation’s explanation; we do not assign a cause.Source: 1979 Yearbook of Jehovah's Witnesses, 1979Source: Jehovah's Witnesses—Proclaimers of God's Kingdom (jv), 1993
O outono de 1975 passou sem o Armagedom; A Sentinela de 1.º de outubro de 1975 registrou que “a humanidade completou então 6.000 anos de existência na Terra” e perguntou “Why Delay?” (“Por que demorar?”). Source: The Watchtower, 1 de outubro de 1975
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Proclamadores, p. 633: “em 1975 houve decepção quando as expectativas a respeito do início do Milênio não se concretizaram. Em resultado disso, alguns se afastaram da organização.”
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1 de outubro de 1975 · p.579 · par. 1 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Since a new Jewish lunar year began in September 1975 a significant point in human history was reached. What was that? According to the Bible's count of time, mankind then completed 6,000 years of existence on earth.”
Published as the autumn of 1975 arrived; the issue also carries 'Why Delay?'.
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Os anuários atribuem a queda a “vários fatores” e ao fato de alguns não fazerem relatório todos os meses; Proclamadores, p. 633, diz que “o número dos que desertaram foi relativamente pequeno”.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1977 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“This year there was a peak of 2,248,390 Kingdom publishers ... In 1975 the peak was 2,179,256. ... the hours were fewer, namely, 359,258,019 hours, to compare with 382,296,208 ... There are not as many pioneer publishers as the year before—114,026 ... to compare with 130,225”
Notes 'some 16,000 fewer pioneers' and that 'some publishers ... did not spend as much time in the field service as formerly'.
1979 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“There has been an overall 1.4-percent decrease in the number of Kingdom publishers. ... there were 2,086,698, on the average, who shared in making known the 'good news' compared with 2,117,194 the year before. The peak number of publishers came to 2,182,341, which is also below that of last year.”
Adds: 'a number did not share in giving a witness each month, and others became inactive.'
1980 · pp.11-12 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing. ... It was also happifying to see increases this year, though not large, in such lands as the United States and Great Britain.”
The sentence concerns Nigeria and the Philippines ('the reports from such lands as Nigeria and the Philippines. After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing'), and the following sentence concerns the United States and Great Britain; it is not a worldwide statement and the narrative gives no worldwide peak figure.
If anyone has been disappointed through not following this line of thought, he should now concentrate on adjusting his viewpoint, seeing that it was not the word of God that failed or deceived him and brought disappointment, but that his own understanding was based on wrong premises.
A primeira resposta colocou a responsabilidade sobre o indivíduo: “não foi a palavra de Deus que falhou ou o enganou e lhe trouxe decepção, mas … o seu próprio entendimento é que se baseava em premissas erradas.”
15 March 1980
‘It is to be regretted’
With the appearance of the book Life Everlasting—in Freedom of the Sons of God ... considerable expectation was aroused regarding the year 1975. ... there were other statements published that implied that such realization of hopes by that year was more of a probability than a mere possibility. It is to be regretted that these latter statements apparently overshadowed the cautionary ones
Quatro anos depois, a organização reconheceu que “foram publicadas outras declarações que davam a entender que tal realização de esperanças naquele ano era mais uma probabilidade do que uma mera possibilidade”, e que estas “aparentemente ofuscaram as que aconselhavam cautela”.
Explicação da organização · 15 de julho de 1976Verificado
A primeira resposta oficial, em julho de 1976, disse a quem estivesse “desapontado” que ajustasse seu ponto de vista, “visto que não foi a palavra de Deus que falhou ou o enganou e lhe causou desapontamento, mas que o seu próprio entendimento se baseava em premissas erradas”. Source: The Watchtower, 15 de julho de 1976
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Esta é a explicação da organização; ela coloca o erro no entendimento do indivíduo.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
15 de julho de 1976 · pp.440-441 · pars. 15-16 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“If anyone has been disappointed through not following this line of thought, he should now concentrate on adjusting his viewpoint, seeing that it was not the word of God that failed or deceived him and brought disappointment, but that his own understanding was based on wrong premises.”
Par. 16 addresses 'one who counted heavily on a date'.
Explicação da organização · 15 de março de 1980Verificado
Em março de 1980, A Sentinela reconheceu que, ao lado das declarações cautelosas, “houve outras declarações publicadas que davam a entender que a realização dessas esperanças naquele ano era mais uma probabilidade do que mera possibilidade. É de lamentar que essas últimas declarações aparentemente tenham ofuscado as cautelosas.” Source: The Watchtower, 15 de março de 1980
A posição da organização ou explicação posterior: Proclamadores, p. 633, repete o essencial: a ideia era “às vezes apresentada como possibilidade, às vezes com mais firmeza”.
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Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
15 de março de 1980 · pp.17-18 · par. 5 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“With the appearance of the book Life Everlasting—in Freedom of the Sons of God ... considerable expectation was aroused regarding the year 1975. ... there were other statements published that implied that such realization of hopes by that year was more of a probability than a mere possibility. It is to be regretted that these latter statements apparently overshadowed the cautionary ones”
The organisation's fullest acknowledgement about 1975.
“The Society never said 1975.” It did not say ‘Armageddon in 1975’. It published the 1975 chronology in a book, at least four magazine articles and a Kingdom Ministry, asked in print whether Armageddon would be over by then, answered ‘possibly … weeks or months, not years’, and in 1980 conceded that published statements implied probability.Source: The Watchtower, 15 de agosto de 1968Source: The Watchtower, 15 de março de 1980
“Cautionary statements were published.” True, and quoted here (‘No one can say with certainty’, May 1968; Franz, 1966). The 1980 article itself says the cautionary statements were ‘overshadowed’.Source: The Watchtower, 1 de maio de 1968
“Individual brothers speculated.” The May 1974 Kingdom Ministry, the organisation’s monthly bulletin for congregation meetings, praised members selling their homes as ‘a fine way to spend the short time remaining’.Source: Kingdom Ministry, maio de 1974
Confiança. As revistas de 1967–1980, o Nosso Ministério do Reino e os Anuários foram lidos na Biblioteca On-line Watchtower, com os números de página tirados dos seus marcadores de página. Vida Eterna na Liberdade dos Filhos de Deus (1966) foi lido numa cópia de arquivo não oficial e é corroborado pelas descrições que a própria organização fez dele em 1980 e em 1993. Uma frase muitas vezes atribuída a A Sentinela de 1 de maio de 1968 (“dentro de poucos anos, no máximo…”) não está nesse artigo e não é usada. Classificação: forte implicação, reconhecida pela organização em 1980.
Fontes citadas nesta página
Show all 16 sources, in date order
Each opens a full record with links, provenance and a confidence note.
Publicação primária das Testemunhas de JeováVerificado
1966 · pp.29-30 · pars. 41-43 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“According to this trustworthy Bible chronology six thousand years from man's creation will end in 1975, and the seventh period of a thousand years of human history will begin in the fall of 1975 C.E. ... How appropriate it would be for Jehovah God to make of this coming seventh period of a thousand years a sabbath period of rest and release, a great Jubilee sabbath”
15 de abril de 1967 · p.236 · par. 25 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“According to a more recent calculation of the Bible timetable, six thousand years of man's existence will end in the latter half of the year 1975, which is well within this century. The Bible millennium is ahead of us”
1 de maio de 1968 · pp.271-273 · pars. 5, 8 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Eight years from the autumn of 1967 would bring us to the autumn of 1975, fully 6,000 years into God's seventh day, his rest day. ... Does this mean that the year 1975 will bring the battle of Armageddon? No one can say with certainty what any particular year will bring.”
15 de agosto de 1968 · pp.494-501 · pars. 29-30, 37 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Are we to assume from this study that the battle of Armageddon will be all over by the autumn of 1975, and the long-looked-for thousand-year reign of Christ will begin by then? Possibly, but we wait to see how closely the seventh thousand-year period of man's existence coincides with the sabbathlike thousand-year reign of Christ.”
8 de outubro de 1968 · pp.13-15 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“That seven-year period will evidently finish in the autumn of the year 1975. Does this mean that the above evidence positively points to 1975 as the time for the complete end of this system of things? Since the Bible does not specifically state this, no man can say. However, of this we can be sure: The 1970's will certainly see the most critical times mankind has yet known.”
22 de maio de 1969 · pp.13-14 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“If you are a young person, you also need to face the fact that you will never grow old in this present system of things. Why not? Because all the evidence in fulfillment of Bible prophecy indicates that this corrupt system is due to end in a few years. ... Therefore, as a young person, you will never fulfill any career that this system offers.”
maio de 1974 · p.3 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“Reports are heard of brothers selling their homes and property and planning to finish out the rest of their days in this old system in the pioneer service. Certainly this is a fine way to spend the short time remaining before the wicked world's end.”
1 de outubro de 1975 · p.579 · par. 1 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“Since a new Jewish lunar year began in September 1975 a significant point in human history was reached. What was that? According to the Bible's count of time, mankind then completed 6,000 years of existence on earth.”
15 de julho de 1976 · pp.440-441 · pars. 15-16 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“If anyone has been disappointed through not following this line of thought, he should now concentrate on adjusting his viewpoint, seeing that it was not the word of God that failed or deceived him and brought disappointment, but that his own understanding was based on wrong premises.”
1977 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“This year there was a peak of 2,248,390 Kingdom publishers ... In 1975 the peak was 2,179,256. ... the hours were fewer, namely, 359,258,019 hours, to compare with 382,296,208 ... There are not as many pioneer publishers as the year before—114,026 ... to compare with 130,225”
1979 · p.23 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“There has been an overall 1.4-percent decrease in the number of Kingdom publishers. ... there were 2,086,698, on the average, who shared in making known the 'good news' compared with 2,117,194 the year before. The peak number of publishers came to 2,182,341, which is also below that of last year.”
1980 · pp.11-12 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“After a few years of decreases in the number of Witnesses in these lands, recent months have seen a definite upswing. ... It was also happifying to see increases this year, though not large, in such lands as the United States and Great Britain.”
15 de março de 1980 · pp.17-18 · par. 5 · Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society
“With the appearance of the book Life Everlasting—in Freedom of the Sons of God ... considerable expectation was aroused regarding the year 1975. ... there were other statements published that implied that such realization of hopes by that year was more of a probability than a mere possibility. It is to be regretted that these latter statements apparently overshadowed the cautionary ones”
1993 · p.104 · Watchtower Bible and Tract Society of New York
“The book Life Everlasting—In Freedom of the Sons of God, released ... in 1966, pointed to 1975. ... Brother Franz ... stated, in essence: 'It could. But we are not saying. All things are possible with God. But we are not saying. ... But the big point of it all is this, dear friends: Time is short.'”
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